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goldman sachs predicts significant economic slowdown and rising unemployment in 2025

Goldman Sachs forecasts a mere 1% GDP growth for the U.S. in 2025, suggesting a narrow avoidance of recession, yet predicts unemployment will rise to 4.5% and inflation to 3.5%. The outlook is influenced by anticipated tariff impacts, which could stifle consumer demand and business investments, leading to a cautious economic environment.

consumers rush to buy amid fears of rising prices from tariffs

UBS chief economist Paul Donovan reports that Americans, particularly Democrats, are "panic-buying" in anticipation of price hikes due to tariffs imposed by President Trump. This rush to purchase durable goods reflects fears of rising costs, with consumer sentiment dropping significantly and inflation expectations rising sharply. Concerns over immigration policies further exacerbate inflation fears, potentially disrupting agricultural labor and increasing food prices.

stocks tumble as strong jobs data fuels inflation concerns and rate fears

Stocks plummeted as the Dow dropped 697 points following a robust jobs report, which heightened inflation expectations and dampened rate-cut hopes. Constellation Energy surged 25.2% after announcing a $26.6 billion acquisition of Calpine, while Walgreens Boots Alliance and Delta Air Lines saw significant stock increases after exceeding earnings expectations.

young adults delay independence as economic pressures persist

Approximately 1 in 3 U.S. adults aged 18 to 34 live with their parents, a trend exacerbated by the pandemic and economic shocks like the Great Recession. Many young adults cite high living costs and insufficient income as reasons for staying at home, with some, like Victoria Franklin, prioritizing savings for future homeownership. While this arrangement offers personal financial benefits, it poses challenges for the broader economy, as household formation is crucial for consumer spending growth.
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